I'm backing Boreham Wood to score more than two goals at home to Altrincham, on the Asian 2.0 line as a single at 1.45, with exactly two giving my stake back.

Boreham Wood are a goal machine. They top the National League unbeaten after 11 matches, averaging 2.6 goals per game, and they haven't failed to score in any of them. At home it's even stronger, with 14 goals in five league matches. Their last three results read 3-1, 3-0 and 4-1, so three or four here wouldn't surprise me at all.

Altrincham's away form is the other half of it. They have conceded nine in six league games on the road, lost half of them and kept just one clean sheet. Boreham Wood take 14.8 shots per home game, so the chances should come.

The risk is real. Altrincham have won their last four, kept two clean sheets in their last five league games, and only 30% of the last ten meetings went over 2.5 goals. A 2-0 returns the stake, a 1-0 loses it. But with the push on two, 1.45 for a side scoring like this is worth taking.