I'm backing over 4.5 Netherlands corners, over 1.5 Netherlands goals and over 1.5 Serbia cards, all in one bet builder at 2.1.

This is a strong side at home against a team that is completely out of form. Serbia have lost all three of their Nations League games, conceding 6 and keeping no clean sheets, and the Dutch are 1.16 to win. I expect the Netherlands to take control from the first whistle, and the corners leg follows from that. They average 8 corners a game across their three matches in the competition, while Serbia concede 7.3. In their only home game, the Dutch won 12 corners and gave away 1.

The goals leg rests on the same pressure. The Netherlands have scored in all three Nations League games and average 22 shots a match. The cards fit too. A Serbia side pinned back for long spells has to foul to stop breaks, and they picked up 2 cards in their one away game.

The risk is a flat Dutch home night. Their only home game finished 1-1 with just one goal, and Serbia average 1.7 cards, so neither leg is a given. Still, at 2.1 for one clear game script, I'm happy to take it.