I'm backing Belgium or the draw, at least eight corners in the match and three or more for Türkiye, all in one builder at 2.15.

The angle starts with Türkiye. They get forward and create plenty, averaging 13.5 shots per match in their two Nations League games, but only 3 of those on target and a single goal scored in total. Teams that shoot that often without finishing tend to win a lot of corners, and their 5.5 per match in the competition backs that up. That is the case for the away corners leg, and it feeds the match total too. Belgium have averaged 5 corners for and 5 against per match in this competition.

The double chance carries the result. Türkiye have lost both group games, conceding five, and I trust Belgium to win or at least avoid defeat at home. The legs fit together: Türkiye pressing, shooting and winning corners without breaking through is exactly the game I expect.

The risk is a dull, low-tempo match or a clinical Türkiye win on the break. Still, 2.15 for a scenario this joined-up is worth taking.